The flu vaccine, which is generally very good
at preventing disease, is formulated 6-12 month before flu season, and
is based on the best guess of researchers and what viruses are
circulating in the far East.
The flu virus is composed of several strands of RNA (like DNA), and
there are up to about 12 different variations of each strand. Some
combinations can result if a more severe strain (like Bird Flu), some in
a more contagious but less dangerous variety. It is when all factors
combine to make a potent virus which spreads more easily (as in 1918)
that we have a dangerous epidemic.
This is one of the reasons
we need an annual vaccine; to account for changes in the virus. This
years "guess" by researchers was less accurate than usual. The virus
that was predominating in September of this year was found to be
different from the H3N2 strain used in the vaccine (created in
February). The strain this year is a slightly different H3N2 variety;
but is a potent variety that may be associated with more severe illness.
The CDC recommends that anti-viral medications (such as Tamiflu) be
used early in the diagnosis; even before confirmation cultures are back,
especially in high risk individuals. If you fall into that group seek
medical care as early as possible if you think you have the flu. You can
check this web site to help you make that decision.
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/qa/testing.htm
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